CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Xia Yiping, CEO of Extreme Vietnam: The company is experiencing difficulties at present, and the company needs to adjust immediately. On December 11th, it was learned from the inside of Extreme Vietnam Automobile that Xia Yiping, CEO of Extreme Vietnam, communicated with all employees through video conference, frankly indicating that the company is experiencing difficulties at present, and the company needs to adjust immediately and enter the 2.0 stage of entrepreneurship. The management will go all out to tide over the difficulties with all employees. Xia Yiping said that in the new entrepreneurial period, the following four things must be done well: 1. Adhere to the long-term investment in core technologies to maintain the leading edge; 2. Strengthen sales and service capacity building to cope with fierce market competition; 3. Merge departments and posts with duplicate functions and change inefficient internal workflow; 4. Reduce projects that cannot improve financial performance in the short term. (Blue Whale Finance)Japanese Reuters's short-term non-manufacturing boom judgment index in December is 30, with the previous value of 19; Reuters's short-term judgment index of manufacturing prosperity in December was -1, with the previous value of 5.
The commander of Syrian democratic forces said that under the mediation of the US, Syrian rebels and Syrian democratic forces reached a ceasefire agreement in the northern city of Mambiji.About 200 people have been killed by gang attacks on civilians in Haiti. Recently, a large-scale violence against civilians in Port-au-Prince, the capital of Haiti, has killed about 200 people, most of whom are elderly people. Witnesses said that the massacre continued.US Treasury Department: US Treasury Secretary Yellen expressed appreciation for the close communication between the Ministry of Economic Affairs of Korea and the United States after the recent events in South Korea.
Morgan Asset Management: In 2025, there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks. Sylvia Sheng, global multi-asset strategist of Morgan Asset Management, said that there are sufficient reasons to continue to over-allocate US stocks and increase exposure to small and medium-sized stocks. She pointed out that although the valuation may look high, it is expected that the profit growth of S&P 500 companies will continue. Sheng wrote that it is estimated that in 2025, the contribution of the six giants in the S&P 500 index to the profit growth of the other 494 stocks will be the same, and the profit growth of these six giants is expected to slow down from 40% in 2024 to 22%. In the international market, Morgan Asset Management continues to over-allocate Japanese stocks, and its quantitative model shows that the yield of Japanese stocks is attractive and the bottom-up profitability is strong.Ukrainian industrial sources: The attack on an oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia did not affect the oil transportation to Europe via Ukraine.The daily limit of the construction industry today is that CICC Fortune Beijing Jianguomenwai Street sold 455 million yuan, and the daily limit of the construction industry today was 2.004 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 22.05%. After-hours data show that the special seats of Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 40.1869 million yuan and sold 19.4816 million yuan, CICC Fortune Beijing Jianguomenwai Street sold 455 million yuan and the special seats of one institution sold 26.1536 million yuan.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14